Forex Investment and Currency Trading

Forex, Forex Investment, Forex Trading and Forex Market





What’s Priced In?

April 21st, 2008 · No Comments

USD (Current Rate = 2.25%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
30-Apr 2.00%                      -25 
25-Jun 1.97%                      -28 
   
   
EUR (Current rate = 4%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
08-May 4.00%                        0 0%
05-Jun 4.00%                        0 0%
   
AUD (Current rate = 7.25%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
01-Apr 7.25%                        0 0%
06-May 7.27%                        2 8%
03-Jun 7.28%                        3 12%
   
CAD (Current rate = 3.5%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
22-Apr 3.04%                      -46 
10-Jun 2.86%                      -64 
   
NZD (Current rate = 8.25%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
24-Apr 8.25%                        0 0%
05-Jun 8.25%                        0 0%

GBP (Current rate = 5%   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
08-May 4.92%                       -8 
05-Jun 4.81%                      -19 
   
SEK (Current rate = 4.25%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
23-Apr 4.25%                        0 0%
   
   
   
JPY (Current Rate .5%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
20-May 0.50%                        0 0%
13-Jun 0.50%                        0 0%
   
   
CHF (Current 3M LIBOR 2.85%)   
Meeting Market Rate Cumulative (BPs) Cumulative Probability of a 25 bps move
12-Jun 2.95%                       10 40%
18-Sep 2.96%                       11 44%

Tags: Global Fundamentals

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