Forex Investment and Currency Trading

Cycles defines timing of highs and lows in a market. It is used to increase probability of buying low and selling highs. It can be applied to all cash and futures (not options) markets. Aligning long and short term cycles increases probability of catching the bulk of market moves.
Measure cycles form bottom to bottom subjectively. A cycle is often defined by a range instead of a single number.
Market and time frame dependent. Most market can have 4 year cycles as well as shorter cycles denoted in months, days and hours.
Cycle analysis attempts to find occurring major and minor peaks and [...]

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U.S. T-Bond

This looks like a classic blow-out top to the bull market in place since 1981 (27 years)
The surge into December last year in an already very mature market followed by one of the largest down months on record bears all the hallmarks of an explosive blow out top.
A decisive move below the 123 area would look to support that concern and suggest at least a return to the channel base presently close to 109. Such a development would suggest a yield north of 5% again.
How could this happen in a Quantitative-easing scenario???

If we are de-leveraging the excess of the [...]

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AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Posted a weekly close above the resistance level at 0.6852 and is likely to rally towards the top of the range at 0.7270. A rally through there opens the way for the 200 dma at 0.7547 and then the converged 55 and 200 week moving averages at 0.79+. The outlook remains bullish.
AUDJPY – Towards the 200 dma

AUDJPY: Approaching the resistance level at 68.25 and then 70.51. Note that the 55 day moving average has provided support on two occasions since it was breached on 24th Feb (as highlighted above). Overall the trend is up and the pair should continue [...]

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EURUSD: Rallied through the 55 dma which is now at 1.3005 though did not close above there. However this does not change the overall setup which suggests that a rally through 1.3095 would be a major bullish development that could open the way for 1.3335 in the ST and possibly a rally up to the 200 dma at 1.3917.

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