Forex Investment and Currency Trading

Gold - Short term caution required following last night’s poor close at the base of the day’s range. The high prices posted yesterday have not sustained so far. A down day today will suggest a short term correction lower which could also be an indication for further consolidation on EURUSD. The support level on EURUSD is at 1.4448 and support on Gold is at $989. A close below there would indicate a correction down, possibly towards $971.
EURUSD

Closed to new high form this uptrend and is attempting to push through the trend across the highs, which is at 1.4509 now. This [...]

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EUR/USD – This market still has a rangy feel to it but the week will close out with EUR/USD trading above 1.4088, the top of a weekly triangle consolidation (red lines, formed by trend resistance drawn off of last year’s 1.60 high). Short, medium and long term charts show considerable bull trend momentum still (the DMI is bullishly aligned across multiple timeframes) and medium term MA signals are supportive. We should be thinking “breakout” but instead, the market continues to see consolidation, perhaps because this week’s struggle to break above 1.4225/35, the top of a bull flag (blue lines) looks [...]

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Cycles defines timing of highs and lows in a market. It is used to increase probability of buying low and selling highs. It can be applied to all cash and futures (not options) markets. Aligning long and short term cycles increases probability of catching the bulk of market moves.
Measure cycles form bottom to bottom subjectively. A cycle is often defined by a range instead of a single number.
Market and time frame dependent. Most market can have 4 year cycles as well as shorter cycles denoted in months, days and hours.
Cycle analysis attempts to find occurring major and minor peaks and [...]

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U.S. T-Bond

This looks like a classic blow-out top to the bull market in place since 1981 (27 years)
The surge into December last year in an already very mature market followed by one of the largest down months on record bears all the hallmarks of an explosive blow out top.
A decisive move below the 123 area would look to support that concern and suggest at least a return to the channel base presently close to 109. Such a development would suggest a yield north of 5% again.
How could this happen in a Quantitative-easing scenario???

If we are de-leveraging the excess of the [...]

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