[Jason_Lim]

The eurozone trade surplus soared in July to EUR 6.3bn (SA), the highest balance since July 2004. This is due to exports which jumped 4.1% m/m, while imports eased 0.3% m/m. More exports gains are likely to occur in coming months since the July level remains weak in absolute terms, down 20.1% y/y (the trough was -24% in April). This outcome is consistent with the recovery of manufacturing output. This will add to the supportive euro environment that is currently developing. Moreover, EURUSD has breached the important 1.4720 resistance opening upside potential to 1.5160. Commodity prices have moved up with natural gas prices rallying by a remarkable 56%. Brent oil finds chart resistance at 71.75 but once above this level it will move into the 80s handle. Liquidity is hunting for yield and is dismissing risk. This will continue for the remainder of this year. That things are not looking as rosy as financial markets are currently
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