AUD: Minutes confirm RBA not in a hurry
The AUD underpeformed other risky currencies overnight, partly related to the minutes of the RBA's September Board meeting. These were consistent with it maintaining a "wait and see" approach to policy and not being in a hurry to hike rates. "The [Board] meeting concluded that the balance was best struck by leaving the cash rate unchanged for the time being, pending further evaluation of incoming information at future meetings... ", according to the minutes. The minutes note that economic conditions continued to improve locally and globally, but that in both cases, large amounts of temporary fiscal stimulus had been introduced. The RBA's largest concern remains whether these improvements in growth can be sustained as the effects of the fiscal stimulus decline - market expects some of the post-stimulus data to weaken over the next few months, which could weigh on the AUD, at least against other commodity currencies.
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