Veteran's Day markets
On days like this, with US equity markets open and the bond market closed it is easier to see that the fixed income market really is the "dog" and the equity market merely the "tail." With drama today coming from the Senate Banking Committee's Chairman Dodd of Connecticut it would be helpful to see the bond market response. The Financial Times headline above the fold has "Banks bill seeks to strip Fed of powers." Definitely a bid for volatility. The VIX has traced out a key reversal.
The China news was all good last night (see attached) with 29.4% growth in M2 a leading factor in a widely expected upturn in CPI (see graph page 2). Chinese holidays underpinned retail sales +16.2% y/y but the number is expected to settle back toward a 15.5% rate. Risk on.
Headlines:
US Tsy Sec Geithner deeply believes a strong dollar is very important to the US
WB's Zoellick: USD 's reserve ccy status secure for some time, Gold not as transferable
Fed Fisher: USD depreciation not disorderly but watching carry trades for disorderly influence
Fed Fisher: Current low rate stance appropriate given prospects of sub-optimal growth
Fed Lacker: US in pretty good shape, looking at sustained growth on when to raise rates
Fed Yellen: Commercial real estate will continue posing headwinds to US's econ recovery
Equities higher overnight with Europe up over 1.2%
Gold hitting new highs at 1115 and Oil knocking on the door of $80 a bbl
Aust Nov consumer sentiment falls by a modest 2.5% after RBA's follow up Nov rate hike
RBNZ Bollard: High NZD not sustainable, NZD is over valued and its strength disappointing
NZ's outlook has improved but high NZD may hinder improvements: RBNZ Financial rpt
NZ food prices slump by 1.5% over Oct, largest fall in 3.5yrs
WB's Zoellick: Internationalised Yuan can become an alternative reserve ccy in 20yrs time
ADB's Kuroda says Asia experiencing V shaped recovery; calls for more Yuan flexibility
APEC ministers pledge to keep economic stimulus measures per draft
S Korea Oct unemployment rate falls for 2nd mth to 9mth low of 3.4% vs 3.6% prior
BOE Inflation Report: sees CPI below target in 2 years, risks balanced
BOE King: Need to rebalance to exports away from imports, weaker stg will help
BOE King: We have a completely open mind on whether we will do more asset purchases
Japan Furukawa: Carefully watching long term interest rate moves
Brazil triggers talk of action to curb real - FT Article
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