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Old 06-04-2009, 10:44 AM   #1 (permalink)
RealInose's Avatar
 
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Join Date: Apr 2009
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Arrow Selling CAD/JPY

Selling CADJPY at 87.80 with a minimum target of 82.50.
Stop loss is at 89.20
Extended targets are 80.10 and 78.00

CADJPY shows weakness at good resistance


• Trend resistance from the high converges with horizontal levels around 89.00 - 90.00 on the weekly chart.

• Bearish daily reversal at the trend high posted yesterday. The last time the pair posted a bearish daily reversal, it fell over 300 points back down to the 55 day moving average.

• A failure to close the week above the 55 week moving average at 87.72 would suggest that the move up since the low in Jan 2009 is done for now.

• The 55 day moving average and channel base have provided good support and should be re-tested (currently at 82.15). Support below there, and extended targets, are 80.10 and 78.00.

• Weakness in Crude (which has failed to sustain above $68+ target) suggests short term weakness for CAD

• Further weakness in equities and lower long end yields in the short term should be JPY supportive.
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Old 10-16-2009, 07:56 AM   #2 (permalink)
 
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Thanks for this post. It is very useful for the beginners.

Thanks
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