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Forex Forum |Forex | Forex Trading | Currency Trading > FX Strategies > Trading Strategy » Euro/dollar got a boost as well from better than expected data
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Old 04-23-2009, 10:14 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Post Euro/dollar got a boost as well from better than expected data

EUR/USD received some support from the better than expected PMI readings. While the survey data does indeed indicate that the “second derivative” has turned positive for the Eurozone, the “first derivative” is still negative, meaning despite the speed of the contraction slowing, the economy is still shrinking (as signaled by the sub-50 reading of the PMI survey). As such, it is difficult to get too excited about the better than expected data readings seen on Thursday with the ECB still scheduled to cut the refi rate by 25bp in May and implement some additional unconventional measures. Indeed, the market continues to lose hope on the European rate story with the key two-year Eurozone-US swap spread having declined by about 11bp since mid-month. In this context, the EUR-USD rally is unlikely to last. Separately, EUR-CHF came under extreme pressure after Reuters reported the SNB’s Hildebrand as saying “have to let recent measures work before thinking about more”. The market may have interpreted this as a sign that the SNB will reduce its FX intervention efforts. However, it is unlikely that
Hildebrand was referring to a decrease in FX intervention and more likely that he was referring to not implementing a different set of quantitative easing measures until the results of present policies are seen.
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Old 10-11-2011, 09:56 PM   #2 (permalink)
 
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