Trading on the Fundamentals
Understanding the fundamental drivers of currency rates is the foundation of grasping price movements. Here are some suggestions:
Get to know the major economic data reports from all the major economies.
Understand the importance of expectations versus actual outcomes. Anticipate alternative outcomes to better gauge how the market is really reacting.
Stay aware of the pricing in and pricing out of market expectations that occur in advance of data and events.
Factor incoming data and news into the major fundamental themes of interest rate expectations, economic growth prospects, inflation, and structural developments.
Be aware that technical and position related themes can overwhelm the fundamentals.
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